{
  "as_of": "2026-10-16",
  "signals": {
    "winter": {
      "sources_above": 3,
      "sources_total": 8,
      "weighted_source_share_above": 0.35,
      "above_source_ids": [
        "poll13",
        "lazar",
        "poll16"
      ],
      "meaning": "Observed share of sources assigning seats, NOT a probability of crossing the threshold. No latent vote-share estimate is supplied."
    },
    "hendel_zelicha": {
      "sources_above": 7,
      "sources_total": 8,
      "weighted_source_share_above": 0.96,
      "above_source_ids": [
        "poll12",
        "kan11_kantar",
        "poll13",
        "lazar",
        "poll16",
        "zman_tatika",
        "poll14"
      ],
      "meaning": "Observed share of sources assigning seats, NOT a probability of crossing the threshold. No latent vote-share estimate is supplied."
    },
    "rz_identity": {
      "sources_above": 8,
      "sources_total": 8,
      "weighted_source_share_above": 1,
      "above_source_ids": [
        "poll12",
        "kan11_kantar",
        "poll13",
        "lazar",
        "poll16",
        "zman_tatika",
        "i24",
        "poll14"
      ],
      "meaning": "Observed share of sources assigning seats, NOT a probability of crossing the threshold. No latent vote-share estimate is supplied."
    }
  },
  "diagnostic_only": true,
  "full_model_path": "model-current.json"
}