{
  "source_id": "lazar",
  "label": "מעריב / לזר מחקרים",
  "published_date": "2026-10-16",
  "received_date": "2026-10-16",
  "field_start": "2026-10-14",
  "field_end": "2026-10-15",
  "weight_within_poll_pool": 0.11,
  "respondents": 700,
  "initial_sample_size": 700,
  "respondent_invites": 4395,
  "sampling_error_pct": 3.7,
  "undecided_pct": 5.2,
  "provenance": {
    "kind": "editor_supplied_published_article_text",
    "url": null,
    "public_verification_in_this_build": false,
    "note": "Maariv / Lazar / Panel4ALL fieldwork 14–15 Oct; full article supplied by editor on 16 Oct. Replaces the actual R18 active Walla/Lazar observation published 13 Oct (field 12 Oct), not an additional source. Article week-on-week changes refer to the publisher’s earlier survey, not necessarily the model’s previous active Lazar observation. Passing-party percentages were not supplied and remain null. No older Lazar aggregate percentages or choice-certainty observations are recycled as this poll.",
    "publication_date_basis": "editor submission and current publication context; field dates explicitly supplied",
    "population": "Representative sample of Israel residents aged 18+, Jews and Arabs",
    "method": "Stratified sampling, random within strata; Panel4ALL online panel",
    "continuity": "Same Lazar family slot, 11% within polling component; Maariv replaces Walla. No ninth source.",
    "reported_aggregate_percentages_not_added_to_fit": true
  },
  "parties": {
    "Yashar": {
      "reported_seats": 21,
      "reported_pct": null,
      "status": "passes",
      "display": "21"
    },
    "Likud": {
      "reported_seats": 18,
      "reported_pct": null,
      "status": "passes",
      "display": "18"
    },
    "Beyachad": {
      "reported_seats": 13,
      "reported_pct": null,
      "status": "passes",
      "display": "13"
    },
    "Democrats": {
      "reported_seats": 9,
      "reported_pct": null,
      "status": "passes",
      "display": "9"
    },
    "Yisrael_Beiteinu": {
      "reported_seats": 8,
      "reported_pct": null,
      "status": "passes",
      "display": "8"
    },
    "Joint_List": {
      "reported_seats": 8,
      "reported_pct": null,
      "status": "passes",
      "display": "8"
    },
    "Otzma": {
      "reported_seats": 8,
      "reported_pct": null,
      "status": "passes",
      "display": "8"
    },
    "Shas": {
      "reported_seats": 7,
      "reported_pct": null,
      "status": "passes",
      "display": "7"
    },
    "UTJ": {
      "reported_seats": 8,
      "reported_pct": null,
      "status": "passes",
      "display": "8"
    },
    "RZ_Zehut": {
      "reported_seats": 6,
      "reported_pct": null,
      "status": "passes",
      "display": "6"
    },
    "Raam": {
      "reported_seats": 6,
      "reported_pct": null,
      "status": "passes",
      "display": "6"
    },
    "Amcha_Yisrael": {
      "reported_seats": 4,
      "reported_pct": null,
      "status": "passes",
      "display": "4"
    },
    "Hendel_Zelicha": {
      "reported_seats": 4,
      "reported_pct": null,
      "status": "passes",
      "display": "4"
    },
    "Blue_White": {
      "reported_seats": 0,
      "reported_pct": 1.1,
      "status": "below_threshold",
      "display": "1.1%"
    }
  },
  "additional_reported_below_threshold_lists": [
    {
      "name_he": "הציבור החרדי",
      "reported_pct": 0.5
    },
    {
      "name_he": "נעם לישראל",
      "reported_pct": 0.5
    },
    {
      "name_he": "צומת בית ישראל",
      "reported_pct": 0.2
    }
  ],
  "reported_blocs": {
    "coalition": 51,
    "opposition_non_arab": 51,
    "arab_parties": 14,
    "unassigned": 4
  },
  "supplementary_reported_data": {
    "prime_minister_suitability": [
      {
        "Eisenkot": 48,
        "Netanyahu": 41
      },
      {
        "Bennett": 43,
        "Netanyahu": 43
      },
      {
        "Netanyahu": 43,
        "Lieberman": 37
      }
    ],
    "expects_own_bloc_to_win_pct": {
      "all": 79,
      "coalition_supporters": 90,
      "opposition_supporters": 75
    },
    "pessimistic_all_pct": 21,
    "if_no_decisive_result_pct": {
      "unity_government": 55,
      "repeat_election": 27,
      "dont_know": 18
    },
    "qualifications": "Optimism is not turnout intention. These descriptive responses are not numerical model inputs."
  }
}